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U.S. Home Is Selling For Just $4,000 Less Than Last Year

July 3, 2023 | Market Update

The U.S. housing market has been experiencing a unique phenomenon recently, with the median home-sale price showing a minimal decline of just 0.9% compared to the previous year. This decrease is the smallest in nearly four months, and it can be attributed to the persistent shortage of available homes on the market. The mismatch between supply and demand has created a situation where new listings have fallen by 27% and pending sales have dropped by 15%. Despite these challenges, the typical U.S. home is currently being sold at approximately $383,000, only $4,000 less than the all-time high recorded in June of the previous year.

The Impact of Low Inventory: 

The declining trend in home prices has slowed down significantly, with the year-over-year drop of just 1% representing the smallest decrease in nearly four months. This stabilization in prices is primarily due to the limited number of homes available for sale. Over the past four weeks leading up to June 25, new listings plummeted by 27%, marking the most substantial decline since the start of the pandemic. Consequently, the overall inventory of homes for sale has decreased by 11%, the first double-digit drop in over a year.

Factors Contributing to Low Inventory: 

The decline in inventory can be attributed to high mortgage rates, which have led many homeowners to hold onto their properties in order to maintain their comparatively low rates. While the average 30-year mortgage rate has slightly decreased in recent weeks, it remains around 7%, more than double the record-low levels of 2021. These higher rates have deterred potential homebuyers, further exacerbating the shortage of available homes. Despite this, the number of homebuyers still outpaces the number of sellers, resulting in increased competition and keeping home prices elevated.

The State of the Market: 

The current state of the housing market reflects a balance between its past extremes. It is not as fast-paced as it was 18 months ago when homes were selling quickly and above asking price, nor is it as slow as it was six or seven months ago when mortgage rates initially rose. Homebuyers should be aware that desirable properties are receiving multiple offers and selling above the asking price. On the other hand, sellers should recognize that their homes may not attract as much competition as they would have two years ago. However, with fair pricing and effective marketing, sellers can still successfully close deals. It is worth noting that small repairs and staging have regained importance in attracting potential buyers.

The U.S. housing market is witnessing a notable shift as home prices experience a modest decline of just 0.9% compared to the previous year, the smallest drop in nearly four months. This is primarily due to a lack of available homes for sale, with new listings decreasing by 27% and pending sales down by 15%. The current market conditions strike a balance between the frenzied activity of the past and the slowdown experienced earlier this year. As the housing market evolves, buyers and sellers should stay informed and adapt their strategies to navigate this unique environment successfully.